Wednesday, February 15, 2006

Four Corners

Every Monday-Thursday (and occasional weekend games) renowned college basketball expert, Money will be handicapping the games for you. Picks and thoughts will be posted prior to tip-off, typically by 3:30 pm pst

We are now 2 fortnights (sounds sooner than 4 weeks) away from the anticipated “play-in” game for the NCCA tournament. If you are not paying attention, the time has come to start; Money can help. Valentine’s day is over. Hopefully we all have some good will bottled up for the next couple of days. The time is now to make your march madness plans.

Joe Leonardo da Vinci, the Mona Lisa of college basketball, puts out weekly reports of who is in the tournament and who is out. He is quite accurate.

http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/bracketology

A few things jump out at me, as I fill this bracket out according to da Vinci’s seeds. A good team will be “rewarded” with a 4 or a 5 seed. I would not want those seeds. First of all, each tournament has the usual 12/5 upset, so if you are sitting there in the 5 hole, you have to be worried. Let’s say that both the 4 and 5 seeds win. They will quickly have to play each other, which would likely pit two very good teams against each other in the second round, and then ultimately play the #1 seed. No changes have been made to the brackets, but this year, the #1 seeds are good, but there will be a major drop off starting at the #2 seeds. It somehow does not sound as daunting of a game to play Ohio State or Gonzaga, in the second round, even if you are the #10 seed.

Alternatively, I would feel real good if I was a #3 or a #6, or even for that matter, a #2 seed. You could stick all of those teams in a hat and place them in any of those seeds and each one would have a good chance at winning.

We still have a lot of basketball left to play, so these seeds will likely change a bit. Who is Money’s final four, based on this bracket? Thanks for asking! I have #6 LSU coming out of Atlanta, #4UCLA from Oakland, #1 Uconn emerging from Washington D.C. and #12 Arkansas standing tall in Minneapolis

Money’s trip to the Bank: (Money’s Cash cow to date – 27 wins, 19 losses). The team in ALL CAPS is my pick.

MINNESOTA +6.5 @ Michigan
Michigan is falling quickly.

LaSALLE -14.5 vs. St Bonaventure
Player of the year candidate Steven Smith getting it done for the Explorers. Don’t confuse this guy with the bag pipe from ESPN, Steven Zzzzzz. Smith.

PENN STATE +4.5 vs. Indiana
Indiana should not be giving anyone points. This team is a train-wreck.

ARKANSAS -4.5 @ Mississippi
The hogs are one of Money’s best moneymakers.

NORTHWESTERN +15.5 @ Illinois
Illinois is reeling and will try not to lose for the third time in a row. They will win, but not by more than 15.

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